Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.003783 0.004138 0.004518 0.004956 0.005449 0.005987 0.006622
2025-11-23 0.003123 0.003608 0.004164 0.004852 0.005690 0.006683 0.007961
2025-11-30 0.002806 0.003363 0.004032 0.004904 0.006024 0.007435 0.009378
2025-12-07 0.002625 0.003240 0.004009 0.005054 0.006462 0.008330 0.011060
2025-12-14 0.002398 0.003030 0.003843 0.004986 0.006586 0.008803 0.012209
2025-12-21 0.002199 0.002833 0.003669 0.004880 0.006632 0.009154 0.013206
2025-12-28 0.002049 0.002687 0.003549 0.004829 0.006741 0.009593 0.014377
2026-01-04 0.001948 0.002597 0.003494 0.004862 0.006968 0.010224 0.015930
2026-01-11 0.001829 0.002474 0.003382 0.004797 0.007034 0.010601 0.017102
2026-01-18 0.001731 0.002373 0.003292 0.004754 0.007126 0.011025 0.018406
2026-01-25 0.001638 0.002272 0.003196 0.004693 0.007180 0.011383 0.019633
2026-02-01 0.001574 0.002210 0.003152 0.004710 0.007359 0.011972 0.021382
2026-02-08 0.001493 0.002122 0.003067 0.004660 0.007436 0.012412 0.022966
2026-02-15 0.001407 0.002021 0.002958 0.004564 0.007425 0.012697 0.024293
2026-02-22 0.001360 0.001978 0.002935 0.004612 0.007673 0.013499 0.026886
2026-03-01 0.001336 0.001969 0.002966 0.004751 0.008101 0.014709 0.030659
2026-03-08 0.001274 0.001895 0.002886 0.004688 0.008140 0.015128 0.032630
2026-03-15 0.001210 0.001814 0.002790 0.004589 0.008099 0.015375 0.034219
2026-03-22 0.001161 0.001755 0.002726 0.004542 0.008155 0.015835 0.036464
2026-03-29 0.001128 0.001721 0.002704 0.004573 0.008371 0.016679 0.039954
2026-04-05 0.001082 0.001664 0.002637 0.004513 0.008391 0.017075 0.042262
2026-04-12 0.001043 0.001615 0.002583 0.004473 0.008451 0.017574 0.045002
2026-04-19 0.001003 0.001565 0.002523 0.004417 0.008469 0.017971 0.047528